Profitable market timers rely on market timing information that has a history of success. In my opinion there are 8 concepts that have yielded consistent profits to those investors that followed them.
It is not desirable or profitable to trust the advice of those who don’t put their own money at risk. This would include all the various vendors that have something to sell you up to and including financial analysts.
Making money over the long term comes from practicing disciplined trading. You must let your profits run and cut your losses for consistent success One of the attributes that will contribute greatly to one’s market timing and investing success is discipline.
The most damaging thing an investor can do to his position or portfolio is take a very large loss. Accurate market timing helps in avoiding this very common experience.
You are just wasting your time chasing the reasons why markets move. Markets can be viewed as mob psychology in action where perceptions rule not necessarily reality. Ultimately price is the only reality..
Be sure and observe the “trend always changes” rule.
If you assumed that the stock market was rational you would be making a big mistake. Knowing why markets move is not necessary because profits are captured from being on the right side of a market that IS moving. Buying low and selling high is ultimately the key to successful investing. It’s unfortunate but most individual investors do the exact opposite.
Historical evidence shows that when trends do change the more extreme the prior movement has been one can expect movement in the new trend direction to be equally extreme. Simplistic but, what goes up must come down.
Longer term trends are really your friend because they produce the largest profits. Foundational to all profits is some degree or measure of trend. The trick is to know when to enter a new direction trend and maintain your position for an appropriate amount of time to gain the maximum profit.
You will make the most money by being in step with the direction of the market. Staying out of sync with the market is a sure fire way to lose your money. The market, in other words, is at all times right. The only reality is price.
Investing success can be achieved by making these principles the foundation of your market timing information.
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